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Macro

Putin-Xi summit: pipeline still stalled

The number that mattered in Beijing was [50 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas per year]reuters.com: Reuters says Xi and Putin showed strong ties but [left without a gas breakthrough]reuters.com on Power of Siberia 2, the planned [2,600-km]reuters.com link through Mongolia. That is the key market-relevant takeaway. The summit delivered optics and broad cooperation, not the commercial step investors were focused on: AP says the two leaders oversaw [more than 40 cooperation agreements]apnews.com, but Reuters says the pipeline remains stalled by [price disagreements]reuters.com. Until there is a signed pipeline deal, the read is strong political alignment and incremental cooperation, not a definitive step-up in Russia-China gas integration. A formal sign-off would likely change that read.

The number that mattered in Beijing was [50 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas per year]reuters.com: Reuters says Xi and Putin showed strong ties but [left without a gas breakthrough]reuters.com on Power of Siberia 2, the planned [2,600-km]reuters.com line through Mongolia. That is the key market takeaway. The hit was diplomatic optics and broad cooperation: AP says the leaders oversaw [more than 40 cooperation agreements]apnews.com, and Xi called the relationship the "highest level in history." The miss was the commercial item investors were focused on. Reuters says the project is stalled by [price disagreements]reuters.com, even though it would complement Power of Siberia 1, which brought [38 bcm]reuters.com from Russia to China last year. So the read-through is unchanged: Moscow still does not have the clean China gas outlet it wants, and Beijing still is not showing urgency on terms. Until that shifts, this is symbolism plus incremental cooperation, not a definitive step-up in Russia-China gas integration. A formal sign-off on the pipeline would likely shift that view.