Skip to content
Macro

Sudan famine - displacement frame

Sudan's latest IPC assessment shows 19,099,100 people in IPC Phase 3+ between Feb 2026 and May 2026, including 145,656 in Phase 5, and WFP/IPC said famine was identified in parts of Sudan in 2025ipcinfo.org wfpusa.org). That now sits on top of over 9.1 million displaced inside Sudan and 4.4 million into neighbouring countries, turning fresh hunger-driven movement into another hit to food supply, household purchasing power and FX stability reliefweb.int.

Sudan's latest IPC assessment shows 19,099,100 people in IPC Phase 3+ between Feb 2026 and May 2026, including 145,656 in Phase 5, and WFP/IPC said famine was identified in parts of Sudan in 2025ipcinfo.org wfpusa.org). That is why famine-linked displacement matters now: it is landing on top of what IOM said was over 9.1 million displaced inside Sudan and 4.4 million into neighbouring countries in what it described as the world's largest displacement crisis reliefweb.int. The macro read is that this is not a standalone humanitarian headline. FAO says conflict has damaged farmland, irrigation and access to inputs, driving unprecedented food-price increases and weaker purchasing power fao.org, while the March 2026 market monitor put the exchange rate at 3,625 SDG/USD, 43% weaker year-on-year, and sorghum supplies at the Gadaref Auction Market down 40% month-on-month and 41% below the five-year March average logcluster.org. The frame changes if updated IPC or IOM assessments show the acute hunger or displacement base moving materially beyond current assessed levels, or if access repairs start easing the food-market squeeze.